Stochastic Oscillator Indicator
Stochastics Oscillator Indicator, like any technical
indicator, can be a useful tool in
implementing your trading strategy
as long as you understand both its
strengths and weaknesses.
Stochastics work best with those
securities that are in a trading range
or are non-trending. Under these
conditions, the stochastic indicator
may prove useful in identifying
buying and selling points based on
divergences between the indicator
and the security's price, the interaction
between the %K and %D lines
that make up the oscillator, as well as when a security
may be overbought
or oversold.
But stochastics can
return false signals,
especially during
strong up- and
downtrends. Using
stochastics with other
indicators can help
reduce the risk of
entering a trade
against the overall
trend.
Stochastic Oscillator: THE CALCULATION
The word stochastic is defined in general as a process involving a random
variable. The stochastic oscillator was first introduced by George Lane in the
1970s. This indicator consists of two lines-the %K and %D lines-and
compares the most recent closing price of a security to the price range in
which it traded over a specified time period.
The following formula shows you how to calculate the latest point on the
%K line:
%K = [(Close − Lo) / (Hi − Lo)] * 100
Where:
Close = Last closing price
Hi = Highest intraday price over the designated period
Lo = Lowest intraday price over the designated period
Therefore, if you were calculating a five-day %K line, the first point would
be calculated using the highest price over the last five trading days and the
lowest price over the last five trading days as well as the closing price for
day five (the last day of the five-day period).
The %D line typically is a three-point moving average of the %K line, and
serves as a "trigger" line for generating trading signals. In other words, you
add together the last three %K values, divide this sum by three, and continue
this over a rolling three-day period. You can use any type of moving average
you wish when calculating the %D line, including simple, weighted, or
exponential moving averages.
Like virtually all technical indicators, you can calculate stochastics over
any time period you wish, depending on your trading style. The shorter the
time period used to establish the high-low comparison, the more responsive
the indicator is to price changes which, in turn, will increase the number of
signals the indicator generates. Alternatively, as you increase the time period
used in calculating an indicator, you increase the time in which it takes to
respond to current price movements. This lowers the number of signals the
indicator generates. Also, keep in mind that you can use any time increment
as well-minute, hour, day, week, month, etc. The same principles apply no
matter the time period or increment you use.